PRISM Alerts · France · Alert 14
France Disaster displacement worsening 13 October 2026

France: 238,081 disaster-driven internal displacements between 2026-07-01 and 2026-07-31 (IDMC IDU)

Disaster-driven internal displacements per month (people)

According to IDMC's Internal Displacement Updates, between 1 and 31 July 2026 France recorded 238,081 disaster-driven internal displacements across 7 events. The alert fired because this figure exceeds the rule's fixed threshold of 50,000 displacements in a calendar month, since the country's monthly record held 2 months of history, below the 6 months required for a comparison against its own past figures. The largest figure, 220,000 displacements, relates to the wildfire in Gironde, Nouvelle-Aquitaine, reported by the Regional Government with a displacement date of 27 July 2026. The next largest, 12,000 displacements, relates to the wildfire in Pyrénées-Orientales reported by the Ministry of Interior.

Narrative written by claude-opus-5-5 from the figures and evidence on this page. Read against the source.

How this fired

RuleDisplacement in a month against the country's own record
Period2026-07-01 to 2026-07-31
Displacement in the month238,081
Events in the month7
Months of history compared2
Judged againstan absolute floor of 50,000. Fired on: abs_floor.
Detected13 October 2026, run 19

Evidence

IDMC Internal Displacement Updates, deduplicated to one figure per event Country page All alerts for France JSON
key displacement_window:FRA:disaster:2026-07