According to the ACAPS INFORM Severity Index, 2026-10 release, the severity score for the Food Security Crisis in Uganda rose from 5.1 in September 2026 to 6.4 in October 2026, an increase of 1.3 points that moves the crisis from category 3 to category 4 (High). The rule compared the October 2026 score with the previous analysis in September 2026; the index change exceeds the 0.3-point threshold, and the category also changed. ACAPS records drought and drier conditions as the driver of this crisis. FEWS NET's Uganda Key Message Update for September 2026 to January 2027 projects that Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes will persist in Karamoja and that conditions in refugee camps will deteriorate.
| Rule | INFORM Severity moving between releases |
| Period | 2026-10 |
| Crisis | Food Security Crisis in Uganda |
| Index before | 5.1 |
| Index after | 6.4 |
| Change | 1.3 |
| Category before | 3 |
| Category after | 4 |
| Judged against | an index move of 0.3 or a category change. Fired on: index, category. |
| Detected | 13 October 2026, run 19 |
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