According to the ACAPS INFORM Severity Index, 2026-10 release, the severity score for Multiple crises in Uganda rose from 6.4 in September 2026 to 7.1 in October 2026, an increase of 0.7 points against the previous month's analysis, while the crisis remained in severity category 4. ACAPS lists international displacement and drought or drier conditions as the drivers of the crisis. FEWS NET's Uganda Key Message Update for September 2026 to January 2027 reports that Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to persist in Karamoja and projects a deterioration in refugee camps.
| Rule | INFORM Severity moving between releases |
| Period | 2026-10 |
| Crisis | Multiple crises in Uganda |
| Index before | 6.4 |
| Index after | 7.1 |
| Change | 0.7 |
| Category before | 4 |
| Category after | 4 |
| Judged against | an index move of 0.3 or a category change. Fired on: index. |
| Detected | 13 October 2026, run 19 |
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