PRISM Alerts · Afghanistan · Alert 33
Afghanistan Armed conflict worsening 13 October 2026

Afghanistan: 161 political violence events in 2026-08, above the 90th percentile of the previous 24 months (110) (ACLED)

Political violence events per month (count)

According to ACLED's open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2 October 2026, Afghanistan recorded 161 political violence events in August 2026, with 212 reported fatalities. This total is above the 90th percentile of the country's monthly totals over the previous 24 months, which stood at 109.8 events. The same ACLED data for August 2026 record 56 events targeting civilians and 27 civilian fatalities. Badakhshan recorded the most events with 39, followed by Kabul with 17 and Herat and Kandahar with 11 each.

Narrative written by claude-opus-5-5 from the figures and evidence on this page. Read against the source.

How this fired

RuleACLED political violence events against the previous two years
Period2026-08
Metricpv_events
Value in the month161
90th percentile of that history109.8
Months of history compared24
Political violence events161
Reported fatalities212
Civilian targeting events56
Civilians reported killed27
Judged againstthe 90th percentile of the country's own record over the previous 24 months, 109.8; at least 20 events or 10 civilians killed. Fired on: history_percentile.
Detected13 October 2026, run 19

Evidence

ACLED, Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2026-10-02 Country page All alerts for Afghanistan JSON
key acled_pv_events:AFG:2026-08