PRISM Alerts · Egypt · Alert 35
Egypt Armed conflict worsening 13 October 2026

Egypt: 10 civilians reported killed in 2026-08, above the 90th percentile of the previous 24 months (5) (ACLED)

Civilians reported killed per month (count)

According to ACLED's Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2 October 2026, 10 civilians were reported killed in Egypt in August 2026 in 4 events targeting civilians. ACLED recorded 5 events and 10 fatalities in total in Egypt during the month. The rule compared the August figure with the 90th percentile of Egypt's own monthly record over the previous 24 months, which stands at 5 civilian fatalities and is calculated from the 21 months with data in that span.

Narrative written by claude-opus-5-5 from the figures and evidence on this page. Read against the source.

How this fired

RuleACLED civilian fatalities against the previous two years
Period2026-08
Metricct_fatalities
Value in the month10
90th percentile of that history5
Months of history compared21
Political violence events5
Reported fatalities10
Civilian targeting events4
Civilians reported killed10
Judged againstthe 90th percentile of the country's own record over the previous 24 months, 5; at least 20 events or 10 civilians killed. Fired on: history_percentile.
Detected13 October 2026, run 19

Evidence

ACLED, Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2026-10-02 Country page All alerts for Egypt JSON
key acled_ct_fatalities:EGY:2026-08