PRISM Alerts · Thailand · Alert 44
Thailand Armed conflict worsening 13 October 2026

Thailand: 22 political violence events in 2026-08, above the 90th percentile of the previous 24 months (19) (ACLED)

Political violence events per month (count)

According to ACLED's Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2 October 2026, Thailand recorded 22 political violence events in August 2026, with 5 reported fatalities. This figure is above the 90th percentile of the country's previous 24 months, which stood at 18.7 events. Of the 22 events, 3 involved civilian targeting, with 1 civilian fatality recorded.

Narrative written by claude-opus-5-5 from the figures and evidence on this page. Read against the source.

How this fired

RuleACLED political violence events against the previous two years
Period2026-08
Metricpv_events
Value in the month22
90th percentile of that history18.7
Months of history compared24
Political violence events22
Reported fatalities5
Civilian targeting events3
Civilians reported killed1
Judged againstthe 90th percentile of the country's own record over the previous 24 months, 18.7; at least 20 events or 10 civilians killed. Fired on: history_percentile.
Detected13 October 2026, run 19

Evidence

ACLED, Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2026-10-02 Country page All alerts for Thailand JSON
key acled_pv_events:THA:2026-08