PRISM Alerts · Philippines · Alert 49
Philippines Conflict displacement worsening 13 October 2026

Philippines: 47,621 conflict-driven internal displacements between 2026-09-01 and 2026-09-30 (IDMC IDU)

Conflict-driven internal displacements per month (people)

According to IDMC's Internal Displacement Updates, 47,621 conflict-driven internal displacements were recorded in the Philippines between 1 and 30 September 2026, across 2 events. The figure is above 16,790, the 90th percentile of the country's own monthly record over the previous 19 months. The larger of the 2 events, an armed conflict event involving a non-state armed group and state actors in Tugunan, BARMM, on 19 September, accounted for 31,245 displacements, according to the Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) and DROMIC. The second event was fighting between non-state armed groups in Nabalawag, BARMM, and Midsayap, Region XII, on 16 September.

Narrative written by claude-opus-5-5 from the figures and evidence on this page. Read against the source.

How this fired

RuleDisplacement in a month against the country's own record
Period2026-09-01 to 2026-09-30
Displacement in the month47,621
Events in the month2
Months of history compared19
90th percentile of that history16,790
Judged againstan absolute floor of 50,000; the 90th percentile of the country's own record, 16,790. Fired on: history_percentile.
Detected13 October 2026, run 34

Evidence

IDMC Internal Displacement Updates, deduplicated to one figure per event Country page All alerts for Philippines JSON
key displacement_window:PHL:conflict:2026-09