According to the ACAPS INFORM Severity Index, October 2026 release, the severity score for the Displacement of Rohingyas to Bangladesh crisis (BGD002) rose from 5.9 in September 2026 to 6.4 in October 2026, an increase of 0.5. Compared with the previous month's analysis, this change exceeds the 0.3-point threshold and moves the crisis from category 3 to category 4 (High). The index lists international displacement as the driver of this crisis.
| Rule | INFORM Severity moving between releases |
| Period | 2026-10 |
| Crisis | Displacement of Rohingyas to Bangladesh |
| Index before | 5.9 |
| Index after | 6.4 |
| Change | 0.5 |
| Category before | 3 |
| Category after | 4 |
| Judged against | an index move of 0.3 or a category change. Fired on: index, category. |
| Detected | 30 October 2026, run 51 |