According to ACLED's Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 9 October 2026, Honduras recorded 85 political violence events in September 2026, with 94 reported fatalities. The rule compared this figure against the 90th percentile of the country's own monthly record over the previous 24 months, which stood at 53.4 events. Of the September events, 74 involved the targeting of civilians, and these accounted for 87 civilian fatalities.
| Rule | ACLED political violence events against the previous two years |
| Period | 2026-09 |
| Metric | pv_events |
| Value in the month | 85 |
| 90th percentile of that history | 53.4 |
| Months of history compared | 24 |
| Political violence events | 85 |
| Reported fatalities | 94 |
| Civilian targeting events | 74 |
| Civilians reported killed | 87 |
| Judged against | the 90th percentile of the country's own record over the previous 24 months, 53.4; at least 20 events or 10 civilians killed. Fired on: history_percentile. |
| Detected | 16 October 2026, run 37 |