According to IDMC's Internal Displacement Updates, 51,200 conflict-driven internal displacements were recorded in Myanmar across 8 events between 1 August and 31 August 2026. The alert was triggered because this figure exceeded the fixed threshold of 50,000 for a calendar month, and it is equal to the 90th percentile of the country's own monthly record over the previous 11 months. The largest entries, all sourced to UNHCR Myanmar, were 19,100 in Chin State on 3 August, 10,400 in Kachin State on 3 August, 9,500 in Bago Region (East and West) on 31 August, 4,500 in Kachin State on 31 August and 3,000 in Tanintharyi Region on 10 August.
| Rule | Displacement in a month against the country's own record |
| Period | 2026-08-01 to 2026-08-31 |
| Displacement in the month | 51,200 |
| Events in the month | 8 |
| Months of history compared | 11 |
| 90th percentile of that history | 51,200 |
| Judged against | an absolute floor of 50,000; the 90th percentile of the country's own record, 51,200. Fired on: abs_floor. |
| Detected | 13 October 2026, run 19 |