According to IDMC's Internal Displacement Updates, 69,898 conflict-driven internal displacements were recorded in South Sudan across 3 events between 1 and 30 September 2026. This exceeds the rule's fixed threshold of 50,000 displacements in a calendar month and is below the 90th percentile of 242,621 in the country's 20-month record. The largest figures were 34,000 in Panyijiar, Unity, reported by the South Sudan Relief and Rehabilitation Commission, and 32,685 in Ayod, Jonglei, reported by the World Health Organization, with the trigger for both recorded as unclear or unknown. IOM DTM South Sudan reported a further 1,849, 762 and 602 displacements linked to communal violence in Jonglei.
| Rule | Displacement in a month against the country's own record |
| Period | 2026-09-01 to 2026-09-30 |
| Displacement in the month | 69,898 |
| Events in the month | 3 |
| Months of history compared | 20 |
| 90th percentile of that history | 242,621 |
| Judged against | an absolute floor of 50,000; the 90th percentile of the country's own record, 242,621. Fired on: abs_floor. |
| Detected | 30 October 2026, run 51 |