According to the IPC Acute Food Insecurity Analysis for Karamoja, Uganda, published on 7 September 2026, 673,241 people (42.4% of the 1,588,928 analysed) were in IPC Phase 3 or above for the period August to October 2026. Compared with the previous analysis of 18 June 2026, which recorded 473,368 people (31.6% of the 1,496,119 analysed), this is an increase of 199,873 people and 10.8 percentage points. FEWS NET's Uganda Key Message Update for September 2026 to January 2027 expects Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes to persist in Karamoja.
| Rule | Phase 3+ change between comparable IPC analyses |
| Period | Aug 2026 - Oct 2026 |
| Phase 3+ before | 473,368 |
| Phase 3+ after | 673,241 |
| Phase 3+ share before (%) | 31.6 |
| Phase 3+ share after (%) | 42.4 |
| Change in people | 199,873 |
| Change in share (points) | 10.8 |
| Relative change | 0.422 |
| Population analysed | 1,588,928 |
| Population analysed before | 1,496,119 |
| Judged against | a move of 5 points in the Phase 3+ share, or of 20% and 100,000 people. Fired on: pct_points, population. |
| Detected | 13 October 2026, run 19 |