PRISM Alerts · Ecuador · Alert 34
Ecuador Armed conflict worsening 13 October 2026

Ecuador: 333 civilians reported killed in 2026-08, above the 90th percentile of the previous 24 months (294) (ACLED)

Civilians reported killed per month (count)

According to ACLED's open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2 October 2026, 333 civilians were reported killed in Ecuador in August 2026 in 237 events targeting civilians. The alert compared this figure against the 90th percentile of Ecuador's monthly civilian fatalities over the previous 24 months, which was 294.4. Across all event types, ACLED recorded 277 events and 387 fatalities in Ecuador during August 2026.

Narrative written by claude-opus-5-5 from the figures and evidence on this page. Read against the source.

How this fired

RuleACLED civilian fatalities against the previous two years
Period2026-08
Metricct_fatalities
Value in the month333
90th percentile of that history294.4
Months of history compared24
Political violence events277
Reported fatalities387
Civilian targeting events237
Civilians reported killed333
Judged againstthe 90th percentile of the country's own record over the previous 24 months, 294.4; at least 20 events or 10 civilians killed. Fired on: history_percentile.
Detected13 October 2026, run 19

Evidence

ACLED, Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2026-10-02 Country page All alerts for Ecuador JSON
key acled_ct_fatalities:ECU:2026-08