According to ACLED's Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2 October 2026, Guatemala recorded 111 political violence events in August 2026, with 127 reported fatalities. This count is above 81.7, the 90th percentile of the country's monthly event counts over the previous 24 months. Of the 111 events, 81 involved the targeting of civilians, and ACLED recorded 90 civilian fatalities in the same month.
| Rule | ACLED political violence events against the previous two years |
| Period | 2026-08 |
| Metric | pv_events |
| Value in the month | 111 |
| 90th percentile of that history | 81.7 |
| Months of history compared | 24 |
| Political violence events | 111 |
| Reported fatalities | 127 |
| Civilian targeting events | 81 |
| Civilians reported killed | 90 |
| Judged against | the 90th percentile of the country's own record over the previous 24 months, 81.7; at least 20 events or 10 civilians killed. Fired on: history_percentile. |
| Detected | 13 October 2026, run 19 |
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