PRISM Alerts · Guatemala · Alert 37
Guatemala Armed conflict worsening 13 October 2026

Guatemala: 90 civilians reported killed in 2026-08, above the 90th percentile of the previous 24 months (68) (ACLED)

Civilians reported killed per month (count)

According to ACLED's Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2 October 2026, 90 civilians were reported killed in Guatemala in August 2026 across 81 events targeting civilians. The rule compared this figure against the 90th percentile of Guatemala's monthly civilian fatalities over the previous 24 months, which was 67.5. Across all event types in August 2026, ACLED recorded 111 events and 127 fatalities in the country.

Narrative written by claude-opus-5-5 from the figures and evidence on this page. Read against the source.

How this fired

RuleACLED civilian fatalities against the previous two years
Period2026-08
Metricct_fatalities
Value in the month90
90th percentile of that history67.5
Months of history compared24
Political violence events111
Reported fatalities127
Civilian targeting events81
Civilians reported killed90
Judged againstthe 90th percentile of the country's own record over the previous 24 months, 67.5; at least 20 events or 10 civilians killed. Fired on: history_percentile.
Detected13 October 2026, run 19

Evidence

ACLED, Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2026-10-02 Country page All alerts for Guatemala JSON
key acled_ct_fatalities:GTM:2026-08