According to ACLED's Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 9 October 2026, 87 civilians were reported killed in Guatemala in September 2026 in 84 events targeting civilians. The rule compared this figure against the 90th percentile of Guatemala's own monthly record over the previous 24 months, which stood at 78.1 civilian fatalities. Across all event types in September 2026, ACLED recorded 102 events and 100 fatalities in the country.
| Rule | ACLED civilian fatalities against the previous two years |
| Period | 2026-09 |
| Metric | ct_fatalities |
| Value in the month | 87 |
| 90th percentile of that history | 78.1 |
| Months of history compared | 24 |
| Political violence events | 102 |
| Reported fatalities | 100 |
| Civilian targeting events | 84 |
| Civilians reported killed | 87 |
| Judged against | the 90th percentile of the country's own record over the previous 24 months, 78.1; at least 20 events or 10 civilians killed. Fired on: history_percentile. |
| Detected | 16 October 2026, run 37 |