PRISM Alerts · Pakistan · Alert 59
Pakistan Armed conflict worsening 16 October 2026

Pakistan: 402 political violence events in 2026-09, above the 90th percentile of the previous 24 months (394) (ACLED)

Political violence events per month (count)

According to ACLED's Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 9 October 2026, Pakistan recorded 402 political violence events in September 2026. This figure is above the 90th percentile of the country's own monthly record over the previous 24 months, which stands at 394.1 events. ACLED data for the same month record 874 fatalities, 147 events targeting civilians and 122 civilian fatalities.

Narrative written by claude-opus-5-5 from the figures and evidence on this page. Read against the source.

How this fired

RuleACLED political violence events against the previous two years
Period2026-09
Metricpv_events
Value in the month402
90th percentile of that history394.1
Months of history compared24
Political violence events402
Reported fatalities874
Civilian targeting events147
Civilians reported killed122
Judged againstthe 90th percentile of the country's own record over the previous 24 months, 394.1; at least 20 events or 10 civilians killed. Fired on: history_percentile.
Detected16 October 2026, run 37

Evidence

ACLED, Open-tier monthly aggregates via HDX, as of 2026-10-09 Country page All alerts for Pakistan JSON
key acled_pv_events:PAK:2026-09