The 2026-27 El Niño set against PRISM's 26-year record for the 13 countries UNICEF named: floods east, drought south, 162 million children in exposed areas, 51.5 million people already in IPC Phase 3 or worse, and humanitarian plans 44.8% funded. With a decision window to February 2027 and a dated watchlist.
Humanitarian data availability fell to 68% across active crisis operations in 2025 — down from 74% — as unprecedented funding cuts eliminated data staff, disbanded enumerator networks, and shrank geographic coverage.
This briefing draws on PRISM’s integrated data infrastructure — cross-referencing Frontex operational data, UNHCR arrival statistics, and Eurostat enforcement and asylum datasets — to provide a comprehensive statistical landscape of EU migration governance across 2023–2025.