One year after the fall of the Assad regime, Syria is navigating the most consequential period in its modern history. The establishment of a Transitional Caretaker Administration in December 2024, followed by the appointment of Ahmed al-Sharaa as Interim President in January 2025, opened a window of cautious optimism — marked by a National Dialogue Conference, the lifting of EU and US sanctions, and the return of over one million refugees.
The Global Humanitarian Overview 2026, published by OCHA on 8 December 2025, reads less like a planning document and more like a managed withdrawal. Every headline indicator has been cut: people in need down 19%, people targeted down 21%, funding requirements slashed by 23% from $44.0 billion to $33.9 billion. On the surface, these reductions might suggest improving conditions. The reality is precisely the opposite.